Publications


Precursors and pathways: dynamically informed extreme event forecasting demonstrated on the historic Emilia-Romagna 2023 flood
Dorrington, J.; Wenta, M.; Grazzini, F.; Magnusson, L.; Vitart, F.; Grams, C. M.
2024. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 24 (9), 2995 – 3012. doi:10.5194/nhess-24-2995-2024
Indication for Biases in Dry Intrusions and the Marine Boundary Layer Over the Azores in ECMWF Short‐Term Forecasts and Analyses
Schäfler, A.; Krüger, K.; Oertel, A.; Quinting, J. F.; Raveh-Rubin, S.
2024. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (15), Art.-Nr.: 109601. doi:10.1029/2024GL109601
Improving forecasts of precipitation extremes over northern and central Italy using machine learning
Grazzini, F.; Dorrington, J.; Grams, C. M.; Craig, G. C.; Magnusson, L.; Vitart, F.
2024. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (762), 3167–3181. doi:10.1002/qj.4755
Why Moist Dynamic Processes Matter for the Sub‐Seasonal Prediction of Atmospheric Blocking Over Europe
Wandel, J.; Büeler, D.; Knippertz, P.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2024. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129 (8), e2023JD039791. doi:10.1029/2023JD039791
How Variable Are Cold Pools?
Grant, L. D.; Kirsch, B.; Bukowski, J.; Falk, N. M.; Neumaier, C. A.; Sakradzija, M.; van den Heever, S. C.; Ament, F.
2024. Geophysical Research Letters, 51 (6), Art.: e2023GL106784. doi:10.1029/2023GL106784
Celebrating 10 Years of the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project and Looking to the Future : WWRP/WCRP S2S Summit 2023
Woolnough, S. J.; Vitart, F.; Robertson, A. W.; Coelho, C. A. S.; Lee, R.; Lin, H.; Kumar, A.; Stan, C.; Balmaseda, M.; Caltabiano, N.; Yamaguchi, M.; Afargan-Gerstman, H.; Boult, V. L.; Andrade, F. M. De; Büeler, D.; Carreric, A.; Campos Diaz, D. A.; Day, J.; Dorrington, J.; Feldmann, M.; Furtado, J. C.; Grams, C. M.; Koster, R.; Hirons, L.; Indasi, V. S.; Jadhav, P.; Liu, Y.; Nying’uro, P.; Roberts, C. D.; Rouges, E.; Ryu, J.
2024. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (3), E521–E526. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0323.1
Multivariate post‐processing of probabilistic sub‐seasonal weather regime forecasts
Mockert, F.; Grams, C. M.; Lerch, S.; Osman, M.; Quinting, J.
2024. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1–17. doi:10.1002/qj.4840
Summer Heatwaves in Southeastern Australia
Henderson, C. R.; Reeder, M. J.; Parker, T. J.; Quinting, J. F.; Jakob, C.
2024. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi:10.1002/qj.4816
Impact of Saharan dust outbreaks on short‐range weather forecast errors in Europe
Hermes, K.; Quinting, J.; Grams, C. M.; Hoose, C.; Hoshyaripour, G. A.
2024. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (760), 1704–1723. doi:10.1002/qj.4666
Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall
Dorrington, J.; Grams, C.; Grazzini, F.; Magnusson, L.; Vitart, F.
2024. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 150 (759), 776–795. doi:10.1002/qj.4622
Warm conveyor belt activity over the Pacific: modulation by the Madden–Julian Oscillation and impact on tropical–extratropical teleconnections
Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Chang, E. K.-M.; Pfahl, S.; Wernli, H.
2024. Weather and Climate Dynamics, 5, 65–85. doi:10.5194/wcd-5-65-2024
A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes
Messori, G.; Dorrington, J.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (21), e2023GL104696. doi:10.1029/2023GL104696
Meteorological conditions during periods of low wind speed and insolation in Germany: The role of weather regimes
Mockert, F.; Grams, C. M.; Brown, T.; Neumann, F.
2023. Meteorological Applications, 30 (4), Art.Nr.: e2141. doi:10.1002/met.2141
Everything Hits at Once: How Remote Rainfall Matters for the Prediction of the 2021 North American Heat Wave
Oertel, A.; Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Hauser, S.; Wandel, J.; Magnusson, L.; Balmaseda, M.; Vitart, F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Geophysical Research Letters, 50 (3), Art.Nr:e2022GL100958. doi:10.1029/2022GL100958
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe. Part 1: Event description and analysis
Mohr, S.; Ehret, U.; Kunz, M.; Ludwig, P.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehmele, F.; Feldmann, H.; Franca, M. J.; Gattke, C.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Scheibel, M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural hazards and earth system sciences, 23 (2), 525–551. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023
Regional Extreme Precipitation Events in Wintertime Japan Facilitated by East-Asian Large-Scale Flow Patterns
Matsunobu, T.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.; Matsueda, M.
2023. SOLA, 19, 253–260. doi:10.2151/sola.2023-033
Warm conveyor belts as amplifiers of forecast uncertainty
Pickl, M.; Quinting, J. F.; Grams, C. M.
2023. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149 (756), 3064–3085. doi:10.1002/qj.4546
Aerosol–cloud–radiation interaction during Saharan dust episodes: the dusty cirrus puzzle
Seifert, A.; Bachmann, V.; Filipitsch, F.; Förstner, J.; Grams, C. M.; Hoshyaripour, G. A.; Quinting, J.; Rohde, A.; Vogel, H.; Wagner, A.; Vogel, B.
2023. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 23 (11), 6409–6430. doi:10.5194/acp-23-6409-2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change
Ludwig, P.; Ehmele, F.; Franca, M. J.; Mohr, S.; Caldas-Alvarez, A.; Daniell, J. E.; Ehret, U.; Feldmann, H.; Hundhausen, M.; Knippertz, P.; Küpfer, K.; Kunz, M.; Mühr, B.; Pinto, J. G.; Quinting, J.; Schäfer, A. M.; Seidel, F.; Wisotzky, C.
2023. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 23 (4), 1287–1311. doi:10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023
On the interaction of stochastic forcing and regime dynamics
Dorrington, J.; Palmer, T.
2023. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 30 (1), 49–62. doi:10.5194/npg-30-49-2023

Published Data Sets