Peer reviewed publications

  1. Anwender, D., C. Cardinali, and S. C. Jones, 2012: Data denial experiments for extratropical transition. Tellus A, 64:1, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.19151.

  2. Barton Y., P. Giannakaki, H. von Waldow, C. Chevalier, S. Pfahl, and O. Martius, 2016: Clustering of Regional-Scale Extreme Precipitation Events in Southern Switzerland, Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 347-369.

  3. Baumgart , M. A., M. Riemer, V. Wirth, F. Teubler, and S. Lang, 2018: Potential-vorticity dynamics of forecast errors: a quantitative case study. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 1405-1425. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0196.1

  4. Boettcher , M., and H. Wernli, 2011: Life cycle study of a diabatic Rossby wave as a precursor to rapid cyclogenesis in the North Atlantic – dynamics and forecast performance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1861-1878. https://doi.org/10.1175/2011MWR3504.1

  5. Boettcher , M., and H. Wernli, 2013. A 10-yr climatology of diabatic Rossby waves in the Northern Hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 141, 1139-1154. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-12-00012.1

  6. Borth, H., H. Tao, K. Fraedrich, A. Schneidereit, and X. Zhu, 2015. Hydrological extremes in the Aksu-Tarim River Basin. Part II: Mid-latitude dynamics, Clim. Dyn., 46, 2039

  7. Campa , J., and H. Wernli, 2012. A PV perspective on the vertical structure of mature midlatitude cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 725-740. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-050.1

  8. Chou K-H, C-C. Wu, P-H. Lin, S. D. Aberson, M. Weissmann, F. Harnisch, and T. Nakazawa 2011: The Impact of Dropwindsonde Observations on Typhoon Track Forecasts in DOTSTAR and T-PARC. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 1728-1743.

  9. Davis, C.A, S.C. Jones, D. Anwender, J. Badey, and L. Scheck, 2013: Mesoscale cyclogenesis over the western North Pacific Ocean during TPARC. Tellus A, 65:1, https://doi.org/10.3402/tellusa.v65i0.18621.

  10. Doyle, J. D., S. Gaberšek, Q. Jiang, L. Bernardet, J. M. Brown, A. Dörnbrack, E. Filaus, V. Grubišić, D. Kirshbaum, O. Knoth, S. Koch, J. Schmidli, I. Stiperski, S. Vosper, S. Zhong, 2010: An intercomparison of T-REX mountain wave simulations and implications for mesoscale predictability, Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 2811-2831.

  11. Ducrocq, V.; I. Braud, S. Davolio, R. Ferretti, C. Flamant, A. Jansa, N. Kalthoff, E. Richard, I. Taupier-Letage, P.A. Ayral, S. Belamari, A. Berne, M. Borga, B. Boudevillain, O. Bock, J. L. Boichard, M. N. Bouin, O. Bousquet, C. Bouvier, J. Chiggiato, D. Cimini, U. Corsmeier, L. Coppola, P. Cocquerez, E. Defer, J. Delanoe, P.di Girolamo, A. Doerenbecher, P. Drobinski, Y. Dufournet, N. Fourrie, J. J. Gourley, L. Labatut, D. Lambert, J. Le Coz, F. S. Marzano, G. Molinie, A. Montani, G. Nord, M. Nuret, K. Ramage, W. Rison, O. Roussot, F. Said, A. Schwarzenboeck, P. Testor, J. van Baelen, B. Vincedon, M. Aran, and J. Tamayo, 2014: HYMEX-SOPI. The field campaign dedicated to heavy precipitation and flash flooding in the northwestern Mediterranean, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 95, 1083-1100. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00244.1

  12. Ehmele, F.; C. Barthlott, and U. Corsmeier, 015. The influence of Sardinia on Corsican rainfall in the western Mediterranean Sea: A numerical sensitivity study. Atmospheric Research, 153, 451-464. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2014.10.004

  13. Eixmann, R., D. H. W. Peters, C. Zülicke, M. Gerding, and A. Dörnbrack, 2010: On the upper tropospheric formation and occurrence of high and thin cirrus clouds during anticyclonic poleward Rossby wave breaking events, Tellus A, 62, 228-242.

  14. Foerster , A.M., M.M. Bell, P.A. Harr, and S.C. Jones, 2014: Observations of the Eyewall Structure of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) during the Transformation Stage of Extratropical Transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 3372–3392, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00313.1.

  15. Giannakaki, P. and O. Martius, 2015: Synoptic-scale flow structures associated with extreme precipitation events in northern Switzerland. Int. J. Climatol., 36, 2497-2515, https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4508

  16. Giannakaki , P. and O. Martius, 2016: An object-based forecast verification tool for synoptic-scale Rossby waveguides, Wea. Forecast., https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-15-0147.1

  17. Glatt, I., A. Dörnbrack, S. Jones, J. Keller, O. Martius, A. Müller, D. H. W. Peters, and V. Wirth, 2011: Utility of Hovmöller diagrams to diagnose Rossby wave trains . Tellus A, 63, 991-1006. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00541.x

  18. Glatt, I., and V. Wirth, 2014: Identifying Rossby wave trains and quantifying their properties. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 140, 384-396.

  19. Grams, C. M. H. Wernli, M. Böttcher, J. Čampa, U.Corsmeier, S.C. Jones, J.H. Keller, C. -J. Lenz, L. Wiegand, 2011: The key role of diabatic processes in modifying the upper-tropospheric wave guide: a North Atlantic case-study. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 137, 2174-2193, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.891.

  20. Grams, C. M., S.C. Jones, C.A. Davis, P.A. Harr, M. Weissmann, 2013a: The impact of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) on the midlatitude flow. Part I: upper-level ridgebuilding and modification of the jet. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 139, 2148–2164, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2091.

  21. Grams, C. M., S.C. Jones, and C.A. Davis, 2013b: The impact of Typhoon Jangmi (2008) on the midlatitude flow. Part II: downstream evolution. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 139, 2165–2180, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2119.

  22. Grams, C. M., H. Binder, S. Pfahl, N. Piaget, and H. Wernli, 2014: Atmospheric processes triggering the central European floods in June 2013. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 1691-1702. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-1691-2014

  23. Grams, C. M., S. T. K. Lang, and J. H. Keller, 2015: A quantitative assessment of the sensitivity of the downstream midlatitude flow response to extratropical transition of tropical cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 9521-9529. https://doi.org/10.1002/ 2015GL065764

  24. Grams, C. M., and S. R. Blumer, 2015: European high-impact weather caused by the downstream response to the extratropical transition of North Atlantic Hurricane Katia (2011). Geophys. Res. Lett., 42,8738-8748. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066253

  25. Grams , C. M., and H. M. Archambault, 2016: The Key Role of Diabatic Outflow in Amplifying the Midlatitude Flow: A Representative Case Study of Weather Systems Surrounding Western North Pacific Extratropical Transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3847-3869. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0419.1

  26. Groenemeijer, P. and G. C. Craig, 2012. Ensemble forecasting with a stochastic convective parametrization based on equilibrium statistics. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 12, 4555–4565. https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-12-4555-2012

  27. Harnisch , F., and M. Weissmann, 2010: Sensitivity of typhoon forecasts to different subsets of targeted dropsonde observations. Mon. Wea. Rev., 138, 2664-2680.

  28. Harnisch F, M. Weissmann, C. Cardinali, and M. W irth, 2011: Experimental assimilation of DIAL water vapour observations in the ECMWF global model. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 137, 1532-1546.

  29. Karpechko, A., P. Hitchcock, D. H. W. Peters, and A. Schneidereit, 2017: Predictability of downward propagation of major sudden stratospheric warmings, Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 143, 1459-1470. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3017.

  30. Keil, C, F. A., Heinlein, and G. C. Craig, 2013: The convective adjustment time-scale as indicator of predictability of convective precipitation. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2143

  31. Keller, J. H., S. C. Jones, J. L. Evans, and P. A. Harr, 2011: Characteristics of the TIGGE multimodel ensemble prediction system in representing forecast variability associated with extratropical transition, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L12802, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL047275.

  32. Keller , J.H., S.C. Jones, and P.A. Harr, 2014: An Eddy Kinetic Energy View of Physical and Dynamical Processes in Distinct Forecast Scenarios for the Extratropical Transition of Two Tropical Cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 2751–2771, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-

  33. Keller , J.H., 2017: Amplification of the Downstream Wave Train during Extratropical Transition: Sensitivity Studies. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1529–1548, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0193.1

  34. Kober, K., G. C. Craig, C. Keil, and A. Dörnbrack, 2012: Blending a probabilistic nowcasting method with a high resolution numerical weather prediction ensemble for convective precipitation forecasts., Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 138, 755–768. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.939

  35. Kober, K., G. C. Craig, C. Keil, 2014: Aspects of probabilistic blending in different weather regimes., Q.J.R. Meteorol. Soc., 140, 1179–1188. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2220

  36. Kober , K., A. M. Foerster, and G. C. Craig, 2015: Examination of a stochastic and deterministic convection parameterization in the COSMO model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 4088-4103. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-15-0012.1

  37. Kober , K. and G. C. Craig, 2016: Physically Based Stochastic Perturbations (PSP) in the Boundary Layer to Represent Uncertainty in Convective Initiation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 73, 2893-2911. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0144. 1

  38. Lang , S.T.K, S.C. Jones, M. Leutbecher, M.S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds, 2012a: Sensitivity, Structure, and Dynamics of Singular Vectors Associated with Hurricane Helene (2006). J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 675–694, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-048.1.

  39. Lang, S. T. K., M. Leutbecher, and S. C. Jones, 2012b: Impact of perturbation methods in the ECMWF ensemble prediction system on tropical cyclone forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 138, 2030–2046, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1942.

  40. Lentink , H., C. M. Grams, M. Riemer and S. C. Jones, 2018: The effects of orography on the extratropical transition of tropical cyclones: a case study of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008). Mon. Wea. Rev. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0150. 1

  41. Madonna, E., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, H. Joos, O. Martius, and H. Wernli, 2015: Verification of North Atlantic warm conveyor belt outflows in ECMWF forecasts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 1333-1344. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2442

  42. Martius , O., and H. Wernli, 2012: A trajectory based investigation of physical and dynamical processes that govern the temporal evolution of the subtropical jet streams over Africa. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 1602-1616 https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-11-0190. 1

  43. Molini, L., A. Parodi, N. Rebora, G.C. Craig, 2011: Classifying severe rainfall events over Italy by hydrometeorological and dynamical criteria. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. 137: 148–154. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.741

  44. Orsolini, Y., L. Zhang, D. H. W. Peters, K. Fraedrich, X. Zhu, A. Schneidereit, and B. van den Hurk 2015: Extreme Precipitation events over North China in August 2010 and their link to eastward-propagating wave-trains across Eurasia: observations and monthly forecasting. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 141, 693, 3097–3105

  45. Parsons , D.B., M. Beland, D. Burridge, P. Bougeault, G. Brunet, J. Caughey, S. M. Cavallo, M. Charron, H. C. Davies, A. Diongue Niang, V. Ducrocq, P. Gauthier, T. M. Hamill, P. A. Harr, S. C. Jones, R. H. Langland, S. J. Majumdar, B. N. Mills, M. Moncrieff, T. Nakazawa, T. Paccagnella, F. Rabier, J.-L. Redelsperger, C. Riedel, R. W. Saunders, M. A. Shapiro, R. Swinbank, I. Szunyogh, C. Thorncroft, A. J. Thorpe, X. Wang, D. Waliser, H. Wernli, and Z. Toth, 2017: THORPEX Research and the Science of Prediction. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 98, 807-830. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00025.1

  46. Peters, D.H.W., P. Vargin, A. Gabriel, N. Tsvetkova, V. Yus hkov, 2010: Tropospheric forcing of the boreal polar vortex splitting in January 2003. Ann. Geophys., 28, 2133-2148.

  47. Peters, D. H. W., A. Schneidereit, M. Bügelmayer, C. Zülicke, and I. Kirchner, 2015: Atmospheric circulation changes in response to an observed stratospheric zonal ozone anomaly. Atmosphere and Ocean, 52, 74-88.

  48. Peters, D.H.W., and P. Vargin, 2015: Influence of subtropical Rossby wave trains on planetary wave activity over Antarctica in September 2002, Tellus A, 67, 25875.

  49. Piaget, N., P. Froidevaux, P. Giannakaki, F. Gierth, O. Martius, M. Riemer, G. Wolf, and C. M. Grams, 2014: Dynamics of a local alpine fooding event in October 2011: moisture source and large-scale circulation. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 141, 1922-1937. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2496

  50. Quandt , L. A., J. H. Keller, O. Martius, S. C. Jones, 2017: Forecast Variability of the Blocking System over Russia in Summer 2010 and its Impact on Surface Conditions. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 61-82, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-16-0065.1

  51. Quinting , J.F., M.M. Bell, P.A. Harr, and S.C. Jones, 2014: Structural Characteristics of T-PARC Typhoon Sinlaku during Its Extratropical Transition. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142,1945–1961, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-13-00306.1

  52. Quinting , J.F. and S.C. Jones, 2016: On the Impact of Tropical Cyclones on Rossby Wave Packets: A Climatological Perspective. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2021–2048, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00298.1

  53. Rautenhaus, M., C. M. Grams, A. Schäfler, and R. Westermann, 2014: GPU based interactive 3D visualization of ECMWF ensemble forecasts. ECMWF Newsletter, 138, 34-38.

  54. Rautenhaus, M., C. M. Grams, A. Schäfler, and R. Westermann, 2015: Three-dimensional visualization of ensemble weather forecasts – Part 2: Forecasting warm conveyor belt situations for aircraft-based field campaigns. Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 2355-2377. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-2355-2015

  55. Rasp, S., T. Selz and G. C. Craig, 2016: Convective and slantwise trajectory ascent in convection-permitting simulations of midlatitude cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 3961-3976. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0112.1

  56. Riemer , M., M. Baumgart, and S. Eiermann, 2014: Cyclogenesis downstream of extratropical transition analyzed by Q-vector partitioning based on flow geometry, J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 4204-4220. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-14-0023. 1

  57. Röhner, L., Nerding, K.-U., Corsmeier, U., 2016: Diagnostic study of a HyMeX heavy precipitation event over Spain by investigation of moisture trajectories. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 142 (S1), 287-297. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2825

  58. Schäfler, A., A. Dörnbrack, C. Kiemle, M. Wirth, and S. Rahm, 2010: Tropospheric Water Vapor Transport as Determined from Airborne Lidar Measurements. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 27, https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JTECHA1418.1.

  59. Schäfler, A., A. Dörnbrack, H. Wernli, C. Kiemle, and S. Pfahl, 2011: Airborne lidar observations in the inflow region of a warm conveyor belt. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 137, 1257-1272. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.827

  60. Schäfler, A., M. Boettcher, C. M. Grams, M. Rautenhaus, H. Sodemann, and H. Wernli, 2014: Planning aircraft measurements within a warm conveyor belt. Weather, 69, 161-166. https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2245

  61. Schäfler, A., and F. Harnisch, 2015: Impact of the inflow moisture on the evolution of a warm conveyor belt. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 299–310. https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2360

  62. Schneidereit , A., S. Schubert, P. Vargin, F. Lunkeit, X. Zhu, D. H. W. Peters, and K. Fraedrich, 2012: Large-Scale Flow and the Long-Lasting Blocking High over Russia: Summer 2010. Mon. Wea. Rev. , 140, 2967–2981.

  63. Schneidereit , A., D. H. W. Peters, C. M. Grams, J. Quinting, J. H. Keller, G. Wolf, F. Teubler, M. Riemer, and O. Martius, 2017: Enhanced tropospheric wave forcing of two anticyclones in the pre-phase of January 2009 major stratospheric sudden warming event, Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1797-1815. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0242.

  64. Schneidereit, A., and D. H. W. Peters, 2018: Boreal changes of extratropical zonally asymmetric ozone during winter months of the 1979-2016 period. Atmosphere, in review.

  65. Schneidereit, A. and D. H. W. Peters, 2018: Seasonal cycle of Rossby wave breaking events in the boreal Extratropics and their mean impact on weather patterns, in preparation.

  66. Selz , T., and G. C. Craig, 2015a: Upscale error growth in a high-resolution simulation of a summertime weather event over Europe. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 813-827. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-14-00140.1

  67. Selz, T., and G. C. Craig, 2015b: Simulation of upscale error growth with a stochastic convection scheme, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL063525.

  68. Swinbank , R., M. Kyouda, P. Buchanan, L. Froude, T. M. Hamill, T. D. Hewson, J. H. Keller, M. Matsueda, J. Methven, F. Pappenberger, M. Scheuerer, H. Titley, L. Wilson, M. Yamaguchi (2016): The TIGGE Project and its Achievements, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 97, 49-67. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-13-00191.1

  69. Tao, T., H. Borth, K. Fraedrich, A. Schneidereit, and X. Zhu, 2015. Hydrological extremes in the Aksu-Tarim River Basin. Part I: Climatology and regime shift, Clim. Dyn., 46, 2029

  70. Teubler , F. and M. Riemer, 2016: Dynamics of Rossby wave packets in a quantitative potential vorticity--potential temperature framework, J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 1063-1081. https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-15-0162.1

  71. Toreti, A., Giannakaki, P., and O. Martius, 2016: Precipitation extremes in the Mediterranean region and associated upper-level atmospheric dynamics, Clim. Dyn., 47, 1925-1941.

  72. Waliser , D. E., M. Moncrieff, D. Burridge, A. Fink, D Gochis, B. N. Goswami, B Guan, P Harr, J Heming, H.-H. Hsu, C Jakob, M. Janiga, R. Johnson, S. Jones, P. Knippertz, J Marengo, H Nguyen, M Pope, Y Serra, C Thorncroft, M Wheeler, R. Wood, and S. Yuter, 2012, The "Year" of Tropical Convection (May 2008 to April 2010): Climate Variability and Weather Highlights, Bull. Amer. Met. Soc. 93, 1189-1218.

  73. Wagner, J. S., A. Gohm, A. Dörnbrack, A. Schäfler, 2011: The mesoscale structure of a mature polar low: Simulations and airborne measurements. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 1516-1531.

  74. Weissmann M, F. Harnisch, C.-C. Wu, P.-H. Lin, Y. Ohta, K. Yamashita, Y. H. Kim, E.-H. Jeon, T. Nakazawa, and S. Aberson, 2011: The influence of assimilating dropsonde data on typhoon track and mid-latitude forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 908-920.

  75. Weissmann M., R. H. Langland, P. M. Pauley, S. Rahm, and C. Cardinali, 2011: Influence of airborne Doppler wind lidar profiles near Typhoon Sinlaku on ECMWF and NOGAPS forecasts. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 138, 118–130.

  76. Wiegand , L., A. Twitchett, C. Schwierz, and P. Knippertz, 2011: Heavy Precipitation at the Alpine South Side and Saharan Dust over Central Europe: A Predictability Study Using TIGGE. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 957-974. https://doi.org/10.1175/ WAF-D-10-05060.1

  77. Wirth, V., and J. Eichhorn, 2014: Long-lived Rossby wave trains as precursors to strong winter cyclones over Europe. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 140, 729-737.

  78. Wirth , V., M. Riemer, E. K. M. Chang, and O. Martius, 2018: Rossby wave packets on the midlatitude Rossby waveguide - a review. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 1965–2001. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0483.1

  79. Wolf , G., and V. Wirth, 2015: Implications of the semigeostrophic nature of Rossby waves for Rossby wave packet detection. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 26-38.

  80. Wolf , G., and V. Wirth, 2017: Diagnosing the horizontal propagation of Rossby wave packets along the midlatitude waveguide. Mon. Wea. Rev.,145, 3247-3264. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0483.1

  81. Zimmer, M., G. C. Craig, C. Keil, H. Wernli, 2011: Classification of precipitation events with a convective response timescale and their forecasting characteristics. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L05802. https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL046199